Libanons fragile Gegenwart

Aktuelles Crisis Group Briefing (Langfassung)

What’s new? Even as a fragile ceasefire holds, Lebanon is grappling with questions raised by the devastating 2023-2024 Israel-Hizbollah war. These include how hard Hizbollah’s opponents will press the weakened group to disarm, as the truce requires, and whether intracommunal tensions provoked by the displacement crisis will subside or flare again. 

Why does it matter? Lebanon has just emerged from two years with no president and only a caretaker government. The new leadership faces enormous economic challenges, including post-war reconstruction, and can ill afford a return to either political paralysis or domestic strife. 

What should be done? The country’s competing camps should move carefully and gradually rather than risk confrontation over Hizbollah’s disarmament. Foreign countries should no longer meddle in this debate. Instead, they can bolster Lebanon’s stability by financially supporting the cash-strapped army and organisations serving the tens of thousands who remain displaced.